AJEDREZ-Previa del Torneo de Candidatos 2020

AJEDREZ-Previa del Torneo de Candidatos 2020

February 26, 2020 0 By Sebastian Fry


Welcome to Totalchess. I am Rafael Alcides and today
we are going to preview the Candidates Tournament which is starting next march 17
in Yekaterimburg, Russia. (music playing) As you may know the winner of the Candidates gets to play Carlsen for the title
in november, presumably in Dubai. The tournament´s format
is a two leg 8-player round robin with a rest day every third round. Tie-break criteria, hierarchically: head to head result; most wins;
most wins with black; Sonneborn-berger; and if needed, a rapid and blitz tie-break. This time we have three russian players, two chinese, one american, one Dutch, and one Azeri. The pairings were forced so that players from the same country
play each other in the first rounds making arrengements in the decisive games impossible. Let´s take a look to the players. We begin with Kirill Alekseenko
who is the youngest of the contenders and also the clear outsider He´s currently ranked no.38 in the world with 2698 elo rating he´s probably going to be playing with in the Tournament, which would make him the first Candidate in modern times under 2700. He´s playing as the organizers wildcard owed to his good performance at the FIDE Grand Swiss were he finished as the best non-qualifying participant. He also turned out to be
the only russian elegible for the wildcard spot, and since the organizers got to pick
their favourite from all elegible players.. he got the spot over MVL. This was very controversial,
I´m not going to go into details on it He crossed 2700 for the first time last year, with great showings at the World Cup and IoM. Although this is going to be his first outing at elite level, he has declared that he doesn´t expect to finish last. Next up we have Wang and Radjabov. They both qualified in surprising fashion since their best form seemed to be long gone. Radjabov in example, was world no.4 in 2013 and after a terrible last place in that year´s Candidates he dropped over 100 points in the following years and it was 2017 when he started showing recovery, if only from a state of half-retirement Actually, after winning the World Cup, he wasn´t even sure he´ld be attending to Ekaterinburg. Wang also peaked in 2013, when he was playing a lot in elite events and briefly stepped on the top10. Since, he´s been too unconsistent, even dropping from 2700 more than once. However, they both played well in 2019, seized their chances, and won when the stakes were high. In the Candidates, Wang is going to be sporting his peak rating and Radjabov with his best in the las seven years. Opposite to the last couple, Grischuk and Nepo´s qualification, wich came via Grand Prix, was hardly a surprise. In the last years they have stablished themselves in the top10 which in my opinion is very noticeable,
since they both always lacked stability. For Grischuk is going to be his fifth appearance in a Candidates -he is in fact the oldest this time-,
while Nepo will make his debut. Openly since december, they are resting from tournament play
and preparing for the Candidates. Next we have Giri
who made it as the best rating average in 2019, although his year was quite unimpressive. A few years ago, he was considered an aspirant to World Champion, but he seems to have stagnated a bit. Anyhow, he already played this tournament in 2016, and seconded Kramnik in 2018, so he knows the terrain. Ding, the player of the moment! Last year was fantastic as he won the Sinquefield Cup, the Grand Chess Tour, and got the best from Carlsen in rapid-time controls. If anything is to be regretted was loosing the World Cup when he was the heavy favourite Last but by all means not least is Caruana, who earned his spot in virtue of having lost the last World Champioship match. He had a quiet 2019, relatively not playing much, but that was enough to keep his second place at the world ranking unthreatened. He started 2020 smashing Wijk aan zee and will play the Candidates
just two points short from his all time peak rating. Word in the streets is that Michael Adams could be his second. I think that rarely the favourites have been so, with such distance from the pack. Ding and Caruana are not only the ones over 2800, but also have the best history wich tells about their hability to win supertournaments; they might be the players with the better preparation in the world, in the torurnament where preparation matters the most; they are in the age range where energy and maturity combine; and they are the ones with better momentum. Between them, I choose Ding, but not only because he is my favourite player: since he climbed to the top10, every year has been better than the last, and last one was very good! He makes up for his -relatively- less experience with amazing self-confidence
wich is one of his distinctive features. His score is better against many of the others, including Caruana, whom he defeated twice last year That being said, I understand that objectively,
Caruana should be the favourite: He already won a Candidates; he has won many more super-tournaments; he´s fresh from a brilliant performance at Wijk aan zee wich should boost his confidence after a dim 2019. Where is the danger for him? Tricky oponents. He´s not only down to Ding in his head to head clashes: he´s never beaten Nepo (1 loss, 7 draws) and fares awful against Wang (5 losses, 4 draws). Another detail: since Carlsen won in 2013, never again the top seeded won the Candidates. And that´s it for today! Thanks for watching. I hope to se your opinions on the comments. If you liked the video, please like it and share it with your chess friends. I am going to be reviewing the players deeply so suscribe, and in the meantime, I invite you to watch the OTHER video in the channel (no subs)